Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kakara

  • WDPA ID

    36909

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
20
Bird
51
377
Mammal
8
94
Total
60
491

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.1%
  • 19.6%
  • 25.0%
  • 19.9%
  • 28.6%
  • 34.1%
Mammal
  • 13.3%
  • 22.4%
  • 26.7%
  • 15.0%
  • 29.8%
  • 36.9%
Amphibian
  • 16.3%
  • 30.3%
  • 39.5%
  • 17.8%
  • 43.4%
  • 52.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia bouvieri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prinia leucopogon Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
INC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
INC
Illadopsis cleaveri
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia batesi
INC
INC
Platysteira concreta
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Smithornis sharpei
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius luehderi
INC
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
DEC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis cinerea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus affinis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus horus
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
NO CHANGE
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brunnescens
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola robustus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Colius striatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossyphicula roberti
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
DEC
DEC
Estrilda atricapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
NO CHANGE
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator willcocksi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureiceps
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa adusta
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Oreolais pulchra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Parus albiventris
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
NO CHANGE
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus insignis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanogaster
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus pelzelni
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia bairdii
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus bocagei
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model