Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Agala

  • WDPA ID

    36921

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
23
Bird
68
348
Mammal
6
77
Total
76
448

16 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 16.4%
  • 21.5%
  • 33.7%
  • 24.7%
  • 35.1%
  • 46.3%
Mammal
  • 25.4%
  • 28.6%
  • 37.6%
  • 31.6%
  • 39.2%
  • 49.2%
Amphibian
  • 11.2%
  • 19.1%
  • 36.8%
  • 24.0%
  • 39.9%
  • 59.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
DEC
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
DEC
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis cleaveri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
DEC
DEC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira concreta
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Malimbus erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
DEC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
DEC
DEC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma vittatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga petiti
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercococcyx olivinus
DEC
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola brunnescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda nonnula
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hartlaubi
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
DEC
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
DEC
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
DEC
DEC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
DEC
DEC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia bairdii
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
DEC
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
DEC
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
DEC
DEC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model