Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Oshun

  • WDPA ID

    36993

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
34
Bird
87
371
Mammal
9
101
Total
98
506

19 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.7%
  • 15.5%
  • 18.6%
  • 17.3%
  • 21.0%
  • 29.4%
Mammal
  • 15.9%
  • 21.6%
  • 25.4%
  • 22.6%
  • 28.1%
  • 38.1%
Amphibian
  • 11.2%
  • 27.2%
  • 39.1%
  • 19.7%
  • 35.6%
  • 55.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia superba Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dicrurus atripennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter castanilius Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
NO CHANGE
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
INC
Ceratogymna atrata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
INC
Laniarius luehderi
INC
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon clamans
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Alethe castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
DEC
DEC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis binotata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis jacksoni
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus albus
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossyphicula roberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuliginosa
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius mackinnoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita luteifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
INC
Parus funereus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus albinucha
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sasia africana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera camaronensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model