Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Oban Group

  • WDPA ID

    37013

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
6
63
Bird
119
427
Mammal
15
123
Total
140
613

22 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.1%
  • 14.3%
  • 23.9%
  • 18.7%
  • 24.5%
  • 31.6%
Mammal
  • 15.7%
  • 19.0%
  • 30.2%
  • 23.1%
  • 30.3%
  • 37.5%
Amphibian
  • 15.2%
  • 20.7%
  • 42.5%
  • 19.8%
  • 33.0%
  • 47.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bostrychia rara Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia minulla Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Myioparus griseigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Canirallus oculeus Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ceratogymna atrata Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura melanopygia Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus batesi Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dicrurus atripennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira concreta Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bostrychia olivacea Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia fuliginosa Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes albotibialis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter castanilius Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Malimbus erythrogaster Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger ndussumensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Macrosphenus flavicans Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Malimbus racheliae Passeriformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira tonsa Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glaucidium sjostedti Strigiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia rubescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prinia leucopogon Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa sethsmithi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Laniarius luehderi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Picathartes oreas Passeriformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger chloronotus Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apaloderma aequatoriale Trogoniformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda notatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus xavieri Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon clamans Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Muscicapa olivascens
DEC
DEC
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis cleaveri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Bleda syndactylus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira concreta
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia fuliginosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Malimbus erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus flavicans
DEC
DEC
Platysteira tonsa
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
DEC
DEC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
INC
Smithornis sharpei
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius luehderi
DEC
DEC
Criniger chloronotus
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
DEC
DEC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Apalis binotata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Calyptocichla serina
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
DEC
DEC
Campephaga petiti
DEC
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus binotatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola brunnescens
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus albus
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Cossyphicula roberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cryptospiza reichenovii
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda atricapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda nonnula
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hartlaubi
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius mackinnoni
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa adusta
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nigrita luteifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus albiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
DEC
DEC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
INC
INC
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
INC
Ploceus preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Poeoptera lugubris
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera camaronensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model