Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Nun River

  • WDPA ID

    37029

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
31
Bird
84
326
Mammal
8
73
Total
95
430

22 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.2%
  • 15.0%
  • 19.4%
  • 18.3%
  • 21.4%
  • 27.7%
Mammal
  • 25.0%
  • 29.4%
  • 33.8%
  • 31.5%
  • 36.5%
  • 42.6%
Amphibian
  • 10.1%
  • 17.5%
  • 36.5%
  • 13.6%
  • 25.8%
  • 39.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Canirallus oculeus Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ceratogymna atrata Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dicrurus atripennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia fuliginosa Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia reichenbachii Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sterna hirundo Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter castanilius Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Merops gularis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Platysteira concreta
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
INC
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Platysteira tonsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
INC
Smithornis sharpei
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius luehderi
INC
NO CHANGE
Criniger chloronotus
INC
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon clamans
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
NO CHANGE
INC
Alethe castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis binotata
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma vittatum
NO CHANGE
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera tullbergi
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus binotatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola brunnescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda atricapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda nonnula
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuliginosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
DEC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus bicolor
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus ocularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia bairdii
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
NO CHANGE
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
INC
Zoothera camaronensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model