Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Asufu Shelterbelt East

  • WDPA ID

    40771

  • Country

    GHA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
30
Bird
69
339
Mammal
11
133
Total
80
502

15 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 17.3%
  • 20.5%
  • 28.4%
  • 24.1%
  • 36.8%
  • 48.2%
Mammal
  • 15.6%
  • 17.9%
  • 26.1%
  • 20.6%
  • 35.2%
  • 52.9%
Amphibian
  • 10.1%
  • 14.1%
  • 21.5%
  • 18.8%
  • 35.8%
  • 64.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bleda eximius Passeriformes
NT
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia ussheri Strigiformes
VU
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Canirallus oculeus Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ceratogymna atrata Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
DEC
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
DEC
Criniger calurus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
DEC
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
DEC
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
DEC
DEC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
DEC
DEC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus binotatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercococcyx olivinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
DEC
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
DEC
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon badia
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus kempi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus scutatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
DEC
DEC
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
DEC
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus gulielmi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis capensis
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model