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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bontioli

  • WDPA ID

    4489

  • Country

    BFA

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
26
Bird
30
316
Mammal
5
91
Total
39
433

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.9%
  • 12.0%
  • 16.6%
  • 13.3%
  • 16.3%
  • 28.8%
Mammal
  • 9.5%
  • 11.5%
  • 20.6%
  • 13.1%
  • 19.6%
  • 31.3%
Amphibian
  • 6.3%
  • 10.4%
  • 14.4%
  • 9.5%
  • 20.5%
  • 37.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco persa
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
INC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Bontioli (CSV file).

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