Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Bahr Salamat
WDPA ID
5164
Country
TCD
IUCN category
IV
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
23
|
|
| Bird |
27
|
270
|
|
| Mammal |
11
|
87
|
|
| Total | 40 |
380 |
10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Vanellus gregarius | Charadriiformes |
|
CR |
|
|
| Gyps rueppellii | N/A |
|
EN |
|
|
| Tockus nasutus | N/A |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | N/A |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus nasutus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela scotocerca | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco biarmicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer griseus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila rufifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
