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< Return to Official Record for Mandelia

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mandelia

  • WDPA ID

    5166

  • Country

    TCD

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
16
Bird
40
338
Mammal
7
75
Total
49
429

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.3%
  • 11.0%
  • 20.1%
  • 13.3%
  • 17.9%
  • 30.0%
Mammal
  • 9.5%
  • 12.8%
  • 23.4%
  • 15.5%
  • 21.8%
  • 37.2%
Amphibian
  • 10.6%
  • 16.2%
  • 23.3%
  • 15.8%
  • 24.0%
  • 35.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter nisus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Vanellus gregarius Charadriiformes
CR
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
DEC
DEC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
DEC
DEC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis erlangeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
DEC
DEC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crinifer zonurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
DEC
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
NO CHANGE
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius rolleti
INC
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
DEC
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus meyeri
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
NO CHANGE
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Mandelia (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Mandelia