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< Return to Official Record for Binder-Lere

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Binder-Lere

  • WDPA ID

    5168

  • Country

    TCD

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
27
Bird
30
319
Mammal
6
89
Total
39
435

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.6%
  • 15.2%
  • 24.9%
  • 17.3%
  • 27.9%
  • 37.3%
Mammal
  • 9.0%
  • 17.0%
  • 26.1%
  • 14.1%
  • 30.7%
  • 48.3%
Amphibian
  • 10.3%
  • 23.9%
  • 41.8%
  • 21.1%
  • 37.9%
  • 65.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius leucocephalus
DEC
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis orientalis
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
DEC
DEC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lybius guifsobalito
INC
INC
Lybius rolleti
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
DEC
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus meyeri
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
DEC
DEC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
DEC
DEC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Binder-Lere (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Binder-Lere