Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Lakes of Ounianga

  • WDPA ID

    555547987

  • Country

    TCD

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Lakes of Ounianga is among the top 75 protected areas assessed as being the most vulnerable to climate change by 2025 (with a 95% uncertainty level)

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
N/A
N/A
Bird
9
45
Mammal
5
11
Total
14
56

25 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 52.9%
  • 60.1%
  • 70.8%
  • 57.9%
  • 68.8%
  • 76.8%
Mammal
  • 10.4%
  • 15.1%
  • 29.7%
  • 14.3%
  • 21.4%
  • 36.7%
Amphibian
  • 100%
  • 100%
  • 100%
  • 100%
  • 0.0%
  • 100%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo africanus
INC
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremophila bilopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
NO CHANGE
Nettapus auritus
NO CHANGE
INC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer griseus
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
NO CHANGE
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pycnonotus barbatus
INC
INC
Rhamphocoris clotbey
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model