Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kilimi

  • WDPA ID

    555555549

  • Country

    SLE

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
24
Bird
43
335
Mammal
10
118
Total
53
477

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.8%
  • 18.5%
  • 24.8%
  • 21.5%
  • 26.6%
  • 35.0%
Mammal
  • 15.1%
  • 20.1%
  • 26.5%
  • 22.1%
  • 27.3%
  • 35.6%
Amphibian
  • 11.3%
  • 16.8%
  • 25.9%
  • 17.6%
  • 27.4%
  • 44.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
DEC
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
DEC
DEC
Criniger calurus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
DEC
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
DEC
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
DEC
DEC
Hirundo nigrita
DEC
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
DEC
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
DEC
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Smithornis capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
DEC
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model