Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Tin Achara

  • WDPA ID

    555556052

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    VI

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
1
Bird
14
57
Mammal
8
19
Total
22
77

28 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 41.5%
  • 47.0%
  • 54.5%
  • 51.7%
  • 58.2%
  • 64.2%
Mammal
  • 17.5%
  • 21.0%
  • 26.4%
  • 27.1%
  • 34.8%
  • 47.3%
Amphibian
  • 15.1%
  • 29.9%
  • 41.2%
  • 15.4%
  • 39.6%
  • 99.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus affinis
INC
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceyx pictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx caprius
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
INC
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nettapus auritus
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucura
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe moesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Passer simplex
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
NO CHANGE
Podica senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
INC
INC
Pterocles coronatus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
DEC
DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pycnonotus barbatus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
NO CHANGE
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model