Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Tidermene Alata

  • WDPA ID

    555556053

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    VI

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
3
Bird
31
167
Mammal
12
38
Total
43
208

20 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 22.6%
  • 29.9%
  • 33.9%
  • 30.4%
  • 36.6%
  • 41.1%
Mammal
  • 16.1%
  • 23.3%
  • 27.5%
  • 24.5%
  • 30.0%
  • 36.1%
Amphibian
  • 6.5%
  • 12.6%
  • 16.6%
  • 9.9%
  • 17.2%
  • 27.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis nuba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amaurornis flavirostra
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceyx pictus
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus albus
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremophila bilopha
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
NO CHANGE
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops pusillus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucura
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe moesta
NO CHANGE
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Otus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer simplex
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
NO CHANGE
INC
Prinia subflava
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles coronatus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pycnonotus barbatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rhamphocoris clotbey
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
NO CHANGE
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model