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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mande Wula

  • WDPA ID

    555556064

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    II

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
23
Bird
32
336
Mammal
2
82
Total
38
441

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 10.6%
  • 13.2%
  • 17.7%
  • 14.2%
  • 20.3%
  • 31.6%
Mammal
  • 13.4%
  • 17.2%
  • 22.8%
  • 17.0%
  • 25.6%
  • 38.7%
Amphibian
  • 7.5%
  • 12.6%
  • 23.5%
  • 8.9%
  • 23.6%
  • 55.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus ruficollis Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus caffer
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Mande Wula (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Mande Wula