Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Zakouma
WDPA ID
641
Country
TCD
IUCN category
II
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
14
|
|
| Bird |
36
|
282
|
|
| Mammal |
9
|
74
|
|
| Total | 47 |
370 |
12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter nisus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Vanellus gregarius | Charadriiformes |
|
CR |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela scotocerca | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crinifer zonurus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila rufifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias namaquus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
