Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bui

  • WDPA ID

    671

  • Country

    GHA

  • IUCN category

    II

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
28
Bird
53
370
Mammal
9
145
Total
66
543

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.5%
  • 16.7%
  • 32.2%
  • 19.4%
  • 28.6%
  • 39.4%
Mammal
  • 10.7%
  • 15.3%
  • 30.1%
  • 16.0%
  • 28.0%
  • 37.1%
Amphibian
  • 6.6%
  • 12.6%
  • 35.7%
  • 13.6%
  • 36.8%
  • 49.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda eximius Passeriformes
NT
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia ussheri Strigiformes
VU
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia superba Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus leucogaster
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
DEC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
DEC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
DEC
DEC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
DEC
DEC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
DEC
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo nigrita
DEC
DEC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
DEC
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
DEC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
DEC
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
DEC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model