Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Air and Tenere Natural Reserves

  • WDPA ID

    67727

  • Country

    NER

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
4
Bird
20
103
Mammal
11
36
Total
31
143

21 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 24.5%
  • 38.0%
  • 51.6%
  • 29.7%
  • 42.4%
  • 49.4%
Mammal
  • 12.0%
  • 14.6%
  • 20.8%
  • 13.4%
  • 18.4%
  • 23.3%
Amphibian
  • 9.3%
  • 17.5%
  • 40.4%
  • 5.9%
  • 17.5%
  • 36.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bubo ascalaphus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps rueppellii N/A
EN
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alectoris barbara
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Ceyx pictus
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius marginatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
INC
INC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremophila bilopha
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nettapus auritus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucura
INC
INC
Oenanthe moesta
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhamphocoris clotbey
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvia conspicillata
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
NO CHANGE
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model