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< Return to Official Record for La Mare d'Oursi

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

La Mare d'Oursi

  • WDPA ID

    67822

  • Country

    BFA

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
7
Bird
32
266
Mammal
9
54
Total
42
327

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.7%
  • 16.2%
  • 30.8%
  • 16.6%
  • 25.6%
  • 41.8%
Mammal
  • 14.4%
  • 19.0%
  • 34.7%
  • 19.8%
  • 28.6%
  • 60.5%
Amphibian
  • 13.2%
  • 23.5%
  • 32.7%
  • 19.3%
  • 31.4%
  • 49.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis melba
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
NO CHANGE
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for La Mare d'Oursi (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for La Mare d'Oursi