Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Iles Tristao

  • WDPA ID

    67984

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
25
Bird
49
332
Mammal
5
98
Total
56
455

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.1%
  • 18.2%
  • 21.6%
  • 21.6%
  • 26.5%
  • 32.4%
Mammal
  • 9.8%
  • 15.8%
  • 21.4%
  • 17.6%
  • 22.7%
  • 33.2%
Amphibian
  • 6.1%
  • 13.0%
  • 21.7%
  • 15.4%
  • 27.4%
  • 46.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Puffinus puffinus Procellariiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus genei Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sterna hirundo Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stercorarius pomarinus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus rubricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
DEC
DEC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
INC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model