Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Delta du Saloum

  • WDPA ID

    68153

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
24
Bird
62
437
Mammal
4
92
Total
69
553

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.7%
  • 18.4%
  • 37.1%
  • 14.6%
  • 27.7%
  • 39.6%
Mammal
  • 19.6%
  • 24.1%
  • 35.2%
  • 17.3%
  • 34.5%
  • 45.4%
Amphibian
  • 11.9%
  • 21.7%
  • 39.2%
  • 14.4%
  • 23.4%
  • 43.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Puffinus puffinus Procellariiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus genei Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sterna hirundo Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Larus audouinii Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Stercorarius pomarinus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balearica pavonina
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Passer simplex
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model