Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Addax Sanctuary

  • WDPA ID

    72350

  • Country

    NER

  • IUCN category

    Ia

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
3
Bird
15
70
Mammal
10
28
Total
25
101

24 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 30.4%
  • 41.4%
  • 55.8%
  • 33.2%
  • 48.8%
  • 58.3%
Mammal
  • 11.3%
  • 15.4%
  • 22.3%
  • 14.8%
  • 20.5%
  • 25.6%
Amphibian
  • 11.5%
  • 29.2%
  • 51.9%
  • 13.5%
  • 32.5%
  • 51.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bubo ascalaphus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps rueppellii N/A
EN
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Actophilornis africanus
INC
INC
Alectoris barbara
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Ceyx pictus
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremophila bilopha
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nettapus auritus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucura
INC
INC
Oenanthe moesta
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhamphocoris clotbey
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvia conspicillata
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus albiceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model