Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Outamba

  • WDPA ID

    7417

  • Country

    SLE

  • IUCN category

    II

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
22
Bird
47
344
Mammal
13
133
Total
60
499

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 16.7%
  • 21.2%
  • 34.0%
  • 24.2%
  • 30.0%
  • 42.1%
Mammal
  • 15.0%
  • 19.7%
  • 34.2%
  • 19.4%
  • 28.2%
  • 41.9%
Amphibian
  • 13.8%
  • 17.4%
  • 32.4%
  • 17.0%
  • 28.6%
  • 60.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
DEC
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
DEC
DEC
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa comitata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
DEC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
DEC
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo nigrita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
DEC
DEC
Vidua wilsoni
DEC
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model