Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gilli-Gilli

  • WDPA ID

    7844

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
32
Bird
95
357
Mammal
9
87
Total
106
476

22 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.6%
  • 14.3%
  • 17.2%
  • 16.9%
  • 20.8%
  • 28.8%
Mammal
  • 16.7%
  • 21.0%
  • 25.1%
  • 20.8%
  • 29.3%
  • 38.4%
Amphibian
  • 10.5%
  • 17.4%
  • 31.1%
  • 15.7%
  • 25.4%
  • 44.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psittacus erithacus Psittaciformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia superba Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Canirallus oculeus Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dicrurus atripennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia batesi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sheppardia cyornithopsis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia fuliginosa Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter castanilius Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Platysteira concreta
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
INC
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Platysteira tonsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius luehderi
INC
NO CHANGE
Criniger chloronotus
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon clamans
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
DEC
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alethe castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis binotata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis jacksoni
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Batis erlangeri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Chlorocichla falkensteini
NO CHANGE
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola brunnescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Colius striatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
DEC
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossyphicula roberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
NO CHANGE
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda nonnula
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo fuliginosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos elliotii
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
INC
Parus funereus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura rufa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sasia africana
NO CHANGE
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
NO CHANGE
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Thripias xantholophus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera camaronensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model