Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gashaka-Gumti

  • WDPA ID

    7873

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    II

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
28
Bird
66
471
Mammal
8
118
Total
76
617

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.6%
  • 17.2%
  • 19.5%
  • 17.1%
  • 23.2%
  • 26.9%
Mammal
  • 10.7%
  • 16.1%
  • 18.8%
  • 13.0%
  • 21.4%
  • 25.1%
Amphibian
  • 9.9%
  • 20.3%
  • 24.9%
  • 11.9%
  • 29.0%
  • 33.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lybius leucocephalus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia cyanolaema Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia bouvieri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia rubescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prinia leucopogon Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa sethsmithi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
INC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Centropus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
INC
Neafrapus cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
INC
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna atrata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
INC
Nectarinia batesi
INC
INC
Platysteira concreta
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
NO CHANGE
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia fuliginosa
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Criniger ndussumensis
INC
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
INC
INC
Platysteira tonsa
INC
INC
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius luehderi
INC
INC
Criniger chloronotus
INC
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
INC
Baeopogon clamans
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
NO CHANGE
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
DEC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
DEC
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis binotata
INC
INC
Apalis cinerea
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus affinis
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus horus
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardeola ralloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
NO CHANGE
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
INC
Campephaga petiti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
DEC
DEC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brunnescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola robustus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossyphicula roberti
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus angolensis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
DEC
DEC
Estrilda atricapilla
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
INC
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
NO CHANGE
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureiceps
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
DEC
DEC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Linurgus olivaceus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melignomon zenkeri
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa adusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
DEC
DEC
Oreolais pulchra
DEC
DEC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parmoptila woodhousei
INC
INC
Parus albiventris
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus bicolor
INC
INC
Ploceus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus pelzelni
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus preussi
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia bairdii
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Strix woodfordii
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus bocagei
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone rufocinerea
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
DEC
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Thripias xantholophus
INC
INC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model