Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Air and Tenere
WDPA ID
9024
Country
NER
IUCN category
IV
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
4
|
|
| Bird |
20
|
104
|
|
| Mammal |
11
|
36
|
|
| Total | 31 |
144 |
21 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cursorius cursor | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Turdoides fulva | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Burhinus oedicnemus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neotis nuba | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco cherrug | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | Strigiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Gyps rueppellii | N/A |
|
EN |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Actophilornis africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alectoris barbara | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amaurornis flavirostra | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ardea goliath | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus grillii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremophila bilopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon leucocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Haliaeetus vocifer | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops bulocki | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mycteria ibis | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nettapus auritus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oenanthe leucura | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe moesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus coryphaeus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | INC |
INC |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhamphocoris clotbey | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Stigmatopelia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvia conspicillata | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
