Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

La mare de Lassouri

  • WDPA ID

    902739

  • Country

    NER

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
5
Bird
35
232
Mammal
8
42
Total
43
279

15 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.5%
  • 17.7%
  • 21.0%
  • 18.4%
  • 26.5%
  • 33.9%
Mammal
  • 12.6%
  • 19.1%
  • 22.8%
  • 19.8%
  • 28.0%
  • 35.5%
Amphibian
  • 1.4%
  • 7.6%
  • 16.2%
  • 5.9%
  • 10.5%
  • 20.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
DEC
DEC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
INC
Aquila verreauxii
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceyx pictus
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Colius striatus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hylia prasina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
NO CHANGE
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model