Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
La mare de Tabalak
WDPA ID
902740
Country
NER
IUCN category
Not Applicable
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
5
|
|
| Bird |
31
|
201
|
|
| Mammal |
10
|
45
|
|
| Total | 41 |
251 |
16 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Aythya fuligula | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cursorius cursor | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis nuba | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Actophilornis africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes cinctura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Kaupifalco monogrammicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops albicollis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
