Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Oasis du Kawar
WDPA ID
902741
Country
NER
IUCN category
Not Applicable
Oasis du Kawar is among the top 75 protected areas assessed as being the most vulnerable to climate change by 2025 (with a 95% uncertainty level)
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
2
|
|
| Bird |
8
|
45
|
|
| Mammal |
6
|
16
|
|
| Total | 14 |
63 |
22 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco cherrug | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis nuba | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alectoris barbara | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes cinctura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea goliath | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx caprius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator glandarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremophila bilopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Haliaeetus vocifer | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mycteria ibis | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nettapus auritus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oenanthe moesta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pycnonotus barbatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhamphocoris clotbey | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stigmatopelia senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
