Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Fada Archei
WDPA ID
9033
Country
TCD
IUCN category
IV
Fada Archei is among the top 75 protected areas assessed as being the most vulnerable to climate change by 2025 (with a 95% uncertainty level)
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
2
|
|
| Bird |
19
|
114
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
17
|
|
| Total | 24 |
133 |
18 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Turdoides fulva | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus aegyptius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco cherrug | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aquila verreauxii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis nuba | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Actophilornis africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amaurornis flavirostra | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis orientalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cercomela scotocerca | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx caprius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator glandarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crinifer piscator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremophila bilopha | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon leucocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Haliaeetus vocifer | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo lucida | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Kaupifalco monogrammicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops bulocki | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nettapus auritus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe leucura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe moesta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | INC |
INC |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles coronatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila rufifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron waalia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
