Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Abou Telfane
WDPA ID
9034
Country
TCD
IUCN category
IV
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
7
|
|
| Bird |
36
|
272
|
|
| Mammal |
7
|
59
|
|
| Total | 43 |
338 |
12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter nisus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Vanellus gregarius | Charadriiformes |
|
CR |
|
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anthropoides virgo | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Struthio camelus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides fulva | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela scotocerca | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clytospiza monteiri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crinifer zonurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus meyeri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia phoenicoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila rufifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thripias namaquus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
